Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.054963 0.059592 0.064273 0.069353 0.074705 0.080168 0.086158
2025-04-06 0.047489 0.054258 0.061341 0.069280 0.077903 0.086958 0.097159
2025-04-13 0.042964 0.051403 0.060501 0.070977 0.082644 0.095179 0.109603
2025-04-20 0.037858 0.047354 0.057885 0.070320 0.084489 0.100023 0.118234
2025-04-27 0.034259 0.044632 0.056433 0.070679 0.087235 0.105702 0.127691
2025-05-04 0.031774 0.042946 0.055952 0.071960 0.090883 0.112302 0.138138
2025-05-11 0.030134 0.042100 0.056315 0.074111 0.095458 0.119923 0.149756
2025-05-18 0.026397 0.038391 0.052990 0.071636 0.094386 0.120832 0.153482
2025-05-25 0.024062 0.036269 0.051451 0.071179 0.095600 0.124331 0.160169
2025-06-01 0.022002 0.034351 0.050034 0.070752 0.096751 0.127683 0.166632
2025-06-08 0.021240 0.034092 0.050680 0.072875 0.101017 0.134778 0.177594
2025-06-15 0.020235 0.033425 0.050738 0.074202 0.104266 0.140636 0.187083
2025-06-22 0.019072 0.032502 0.050450 0.075111 0.107054 0.146036 0.196182
2025-06-29 0.017590 0.031034 0.049359 0.074915 0.108408 0.149661 0.203135
2025-07-06 0.016906 0.030675 0.049741 0.076643 0.112224 0.156364 0.213918
2025-07-13 0.015454 0.029080 0.048339 0.075918 0.112819 0.159006 0.219669
2025-07-20 0.014469 0.028125 0.047774 0.076280 0.114798 0.163378 0.227577
2025-07-27 0.013863 0.027711 0.047945 0.077621 0.118054 0.169372 0.237536
2025-08-03 0.013569 0.027768 0.048783 0.079883 0.122543 0.176967 0.249555
2025-08-10 0.011932 0.025547 0.046196 0.077273 0.120441 0.176037 0.250752
2025-08-17 0.010994 0.024410 0.045155 0.076790 0.121163 0.178727 0.256532
2025-08-24 0.010134 0.023345 0.044168 0.076340 0.121894 0.181406 0.262291
2025-08-31 0.009978 0.023492 0.045037 0.078576 0.126328 0.188963 0.274363